Simplified caries prediction models (>=2 predictors; microbiome-primary studies excluded), but some pooled models include microbe predictors (Yaxuan 2023: S. mutans; Kim 2018: biofilm acidogenicity/saliva) vs No competing model
Model discrimination (area under the ROC curve, AUC) · Children and adolescents aged 1-18 years
Simplified childhood caries prediction models show moderate pooled discrimination (AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.73-0.84) but with very high heterogeneity (I2=97.3%) and all models at high risk of bias (PROBAST); ungraded.
1 finding from 1 review
- Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 2025 All outcomesPrediction of future/undiagnosed caries; cohort follow-up 3 months-10 years · Home/community preventive oral healthcare; detection of undiagnosed caries in asymptomatic children · Overall (6 validated models pooled)AUC 0.79 [0.73, 0.84]6 studiesGRADE not reported