Question · asked by 1 review

Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model: Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve)

Population
Children or adolescents
Intervention
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors
Comparison
No competing model
Outcome
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve)

The Luo (2021) model had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.77).

What each review found

Include earlier review versions
No studies found 0 · 0%GRADE not reported 6 · 100%Very low 0 · 0%Low 0 · 0%Moderate 0 · 0%High 0 · 0%
FindingEffectStudiesGRADE certainty
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children
The Luo (2021) model had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.77).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.766 [0.761, 0.771]1 studyGRADE not reported
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children
The Duan (2021) model had an AUC of 0.71 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.72).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.71 [0.69, 0.72]1 studyGRADE not reported
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children, Yaxuan (2023)
The Liu (2023) model had an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.97).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.931 [0.876, 0.967]1 studyGRADE not reported
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children, Wickramasinghe (2022)
The Danushi (2022) model had an AUC of 0.59 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.67).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.592 [0.514, 0.671]1 studyGRADE not reported
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children, Kim (2018)
The Kim (2018) model had an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.88).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.782 [0.681, 0.884]1 studyGRADE not reported
Simple childhood caries prediction models with at least two predictors vs No competing model
Dental caries discrimination (area under the curve) · Children and adolescents (≤18 years) · Validation assessment; prediction horizon not reported, Home for rapid detection and preventive oral healthcare in asymptomatic children
The Qu (2022) model had an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI 0.87 to 0.94).
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis. (2025) All outcomes
AUC 0.91 [0.87, 0.94]1 studyGRADE not reported

Findings are shown side by side, never pooled across reviews.

The reviews

ReviewSearched up toIncluded studiesAMSTAR 2
Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
2025 All outcomes
18 January 202416Not applicable

Studies behind the findings

The primary studies the full-text reviews tie to this outcome. Reviews with headline outcomes only do not list them here.

How reviews are matched to this question

Reviews word the same question differently. Four decision models (TypeSafe's Jev, Liquid AI's d1-ultra, SubQ Snap and Baseten's Elephant) judged each wording of the population, intervention, comparator and outcome against the others; two wordings count as the same when at least three of them agree and none clearly disagrees, and findings count as this question only when all four elements match. Timing, setting and subgroup never split a question: they are shown on each finding.